Iran conflict and three scenarios of the impact on the energy sector

This insight looks at the recent escalation of military conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran, and its potential impact on global energy markets. With Iran a meaningful oil producer and the Strait of Hormuz a critical transit point for roughly one-fifth of global crude and liquefied natural gas (LNG), the duration and scale of any disruption could have material impacts on global energy markets. We outline three scenarios with differing levels of escalation and the potential implications for oil and gas prices and energy equities. 

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